Recently, senior economist Anthony Willis shared his insights on the current economic situation in the United States. He pointed out that while inflation in the U.S. remains relatively stable, it is still significantly above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, and there are still upward risks in the short term.

Willis stated that the current economic data may lead the Federal Reserve to adopt a wait-and-see attitude in the coming months, especially during the release of the Consumer Price Index in July and August (CPI) data. The Fed may wait until the next monetary policy meeting on September 17 to make a decision. This period will allow the Federal Reserve to more comprehensively assess the impact of tariffs on inflation and gather more evidence regarding a potentially weak labor market.

This economist predicts that the inflation rate is likely to approach 3%. However, considering the Federal Reserve's dual mandate of maintaining price stability and maximizing employment, he believes that the Federal Reserve may still find it necessary to cut interest rates later this year.

This forecast has sparked widespread discussion in the market regarding the future direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Analysts generally believe that the Federal Reserve will face challenges in balancing inflation control and economic growth. Some experts point out that if inflation remains persistently above target levels, the Federal Reserve may be forced to adopt a more aggressive policy stance.

However, there are also viewpoints suggesting that in the context of increasing global economic uncertainty, the Federal Reserve may become more cautious to avoid the negative impacts that could arise from tightening monetary policy too quickly.

Regardless, the economic data in the coming months will be a key factor in determining the direction of the Federal Reserve's policy. Investors and policymakers will closely monitor inflation data, employment reports, and other economic indicators to predict the actions the Federal Reserve may take.