Stablecoin Flows Found to Impact U.S. Treasury Yields, Messari Reports - Crypto Economy

TL;DR

• Messari’s latest research highlights a clear link between stablecoin inflows and movements in U.S. Treasury yields.
• Weekly capital shifts into major stablecoins can soften Treasury bill yields by several basis points, effectively acting like a mild liquidity boost.
• Meanwhile, real-world asset tokenization and yield-bearing stablecoins are gaining traction, reinforcing blockchain’s relevance for traditional markets and broadening investor interest in tokenized treasuries.

The bond market and digital asset space are colliding in unexpected ways. Messari’s “State of Stablecoins” report draws attention to how billions flowing into stablecoins are influencing the world’s largest sovereign debt market. The analysis points out that when investors park capital into stablecoins, issuers often deploy reserves into short-term Treasury bills. This liquidity shift can lower yields slightly, mimicking the effects of modest quantitative easing.

According to the report, fresh inflows of several billion dollars per week are associated with a roughly 2.5 basis point drop in three-month Treasury yields within ten days. If the inflows persist for twenty days, the drop can reach up to 5 basis points. On the flip side, when stablecoin holders redeem en masse, the outflows push yields higher by as much as 6 to 8 basis points in short order.

Circle’s Breakout and Plasma’s Billion-Dollar Raise

This trend is underpinned by booming demand for stablecoins and companies building around them. Circle’s IPO earlier this year showed just how eager investors are for exposure. Its shares skyrocketed tenfold, weeks after listing and remain far above their debut price, despite some profit-taking.

Meanwhile, innovation continues. The Plasma sidechain, designed specifically for stablecoin applications, raised $1 billion almost overnight through its ongoing ICO. Plasma’s model ties token distribution directly to staked stablecoins, anchoring the chain’s initial liquidity and aligning incentives for early backers.

Tokenized Treasuries Fuel Onchain Yield

Beyond conventional stablecoins, real-world asset tokenization is expanding at breakneck speed. The tokenized U.S. Treasuries market now represents about 27% of the total RWA sector, which itself has nearly tripled since January. This trend shows that investors want not only stable value but yield as well, blending the security of government debt with blockchain’s efficiency.

Networks like Stellar are capitalizing on this momentum. Since early 2024, Stellar’s yield-bearing stablecoin market cap has grown by a third, and transaction volume for RWAs on the chain has climbed sharply. Institutional players like Franklin Templeton, using Stellar for its onchain money market fund, have found they can cut costs dramatically while offering digital assets backed by traditional Treasury exposure.