Just tomorrow night (August 12 at 20:30), traders around the world will have to hold their breath – the US July CPI data is coming. The market has long sounded the alarm: core inflation year-on-year may break through the 3% mark, hitting a 5-month high; overall inflation year-on-year is 2.8%, which has already risen for three consecutive months! If this data is confirmed, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September may plummet from 91%, and the recent record of $122,000 for BTC may suddenly turn into a battlefield of longs and shorts.



More dangerous signals are hidden in the details—
The tariff has already drawn blood with its inflationary blade! Morgan Stanley issues an urgent warning: Trump's tariffs are violently driving up prices of toys, sporting goods, and furniture. After companies clear out their inventory, the July CPI is likely to face a "tsunami" of cost transfer.
Gold plummeted 2% in a single day! The $3400 support line collapsed overnight, with hedge funds frantically selling off safe-haven assets—this is not just a simple technical adjustment, but the raw fear of gamblers towards the "stagflation ghost."
The Fed is caught in an ultimate paradox: on one hand, the job market is suddenly cooling (the employment-to-population ratio fell to its lowest in three years in July), while on the other hand, inflation is roaring back. If the data explodes tonight, Powell will have to choose between "recession" and "inflation," and the global liquidity tap might be urgently turned off!

This is a more lethal trial than the non-farm payrolls; Wall Street is buzzing: when BTC at $122,000 and gold at $3,360 go their separate ways, capital has already caught the scent - tonight's CPI will either ignite the bull market engine or trigger the bomb fuse!

Institutions are swallowing hundreds of billions in chips, the "doomsday machine" behind the violent pump of BTC and PI has been activated!
BTC soared 3.2% in a single day, breaking through $122,000 (just 1% away from the all-time high!), and ETH surged 21% in 7 days to reach $4,300, hitting a three-year high! This round of madness is not just retail investors celebrating — institutional giants are quietly making their moves.
113 billion USD BTC and 13 billion USD second coin have been locked by listed asset management companies, with the weekly accumulation amount equivalent to the GDP of a small country!
The Trump family's "crypto empire" emerges: Eric Trump publicly supports BTC, while his World Liberty Financial (WLFI) plots the tokenization of a publicly listed company, turning political capital into new fuel!

Tomorrow night CPI: The "judgment moment" for the bulls!
All eyes are on the US July CPI data at 20:30 Beijing time on August 12! If inflation cools down (expected core CPI annual rate at 3%), the probability of a rate cut in September will soar to 91.5% (CME FedWatch data), and then——
BTC may lightning break through the historical peak of 123,000, triggering an 1.8 billion dollar short massacre (the powder keg for the short squeeze has long been buried!)
The options for Erb pancake are crazy bets on $6000! Data from the Deribit exchange shows that the trading volume of the December $6000 call options surged by 300%, and the consensus on Wall Street is that Erb pancake will replicate the "ferocious bull market" of 2021!

Major Shock Warning: Hedge Funds are Frenziedly Buying "Doomsday Insurance"!
Despite the strong upward momentum, smart money has quietly positioned for a downside hedge:
The implied volatility of ETH has soared to 70% (while BTC is only at 35%), and panic buying suggests a possible 10% flash crash after the CPI!
The technical analysis reveals a "death signal": BTC has tested the 122K level three times, experiencing pullbacks. In the range of 4300-4350, there is a build-up of 1 billion USD sell orders for ETH, with warnings stating: the trap for a pump has been set, and a short squeeze is imminent!

Ultimate Script:
On Friday, Trump and Putin are set to hold a secret meeting in Alaska. If the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement is reached, global risk assets will receive a nuclear-level boost! Coupled with Fed Vice Chair Bowman’s hawkish support for a rate cut in September, the hundreds of billions in pension funds (401k) may storm the crypto market—$120 billion in bullets ready to buy BTC at any moment!

Mr. Zhu said directly: If CPI is below 3%, go long with eyes closed! 122K is not the top, it's the new starting point of the bull market! But if the data explodes — the 119K support level will be a battleground for bulls and bears, with blood flowing like a river! Pay attention to Mr. Zhu's thousand-fold strike strategy tonight! #币圈# #区块链# #加密货币#
BTC-1.01%
TRUMP-1.47%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
No comments
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate app
Community
English
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)